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ESFTOP Black Vermillion River near Frankfort This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than anticipated. Location: Black Vermillion River near Frankfort Flood stage: 19.0 feet Latest stage: 2.8 feet at 7 AM Tuesday Maximum Forecast Stage: 22.0 feet at 1 PM Wednesday Sep 16 Fld Obs Forecasts

ESFAFG ...Locations Impacted... Middle Yukon Valley, Lower Koyukuk Valley, Lower Yukon Valley, and Innoko Valley. Heavy rain is forecast to begin Monday afternoon. Rain should continue through Wednesday morning with storm total rainfall of up to 2 inches expected. With already saturated ground conditions across the region, the heavy rain may cause minor pooling/ponding of water beginning on Tuesday. Mainstem river flooding is not expected, but high water levels and

ESFAFC Locations: * Willow and Talkeetna * Rivers, creeks, and streams with headwaters along the western Talkeetna Mountains Timing: * This (Monday) evening through Wednesday afternoon. Heaviest rainfall expected late Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. Rainfall: * Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches Monday through Wednesday likely won't be high enough for widespread flooding, but smaller tributaries draining the Talkeetnas including Willow Creek and the Little Susitna may reach bankfull. Hydrologic Concerns:

FRWOUN The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a Fire Warning at the request of Oklahoma Forestry Services and Roger Mills County Emergency Management for northeastern Roger Mills County until at least 530 PM CDT. * AT 331 PM CDT, a dangerous wildfire was located 5 miles east of Roll, moving rapidly north at 2 mph. * Areas impacted... Oklahoma 47 and rural areas east of Roll. * Additional Information...Smoke and fire will present a threat to life and property.

ESFAFC Locations: * Willow and Talkeetna * Rivers, creeks, and streams with headwaters along the western Talkeetna Mountains Timing: * Monday evening through Wednesday afternoon. Heaviest rainfall expected through Tuesday evening. Rainfall: * Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches Monday through Wednesday likely won't be high enough for widespread flooding, but smaller tributaries draining the Talkeetnas including Willow Creek and the Little Susitna will likely reach bankfull. Hydrologic Concerns:

AQAMEG The Shelby County Health Department has issued a Code Orange Ozone Health Advisory effective for Shelby County Tennessee, Crittenden County Arkansas, and DeSoto County Mississippi, including the city of Memphis that will remain in effect until one hour after sunset. This ozone health advisory is due to monitored ozone values that are unhealthy for sensitive groups. These values have exceeded the Environmental Protection Agency's federal safe health standard. The

ESFAFC Locations: * Willow and Talkeetna * Rivers, creeks, and streams with headwaters along the western Talkeetna Mountains Timing: * Monday evening through Wednesday afternoon. Heaviest rainfall expected through Tuesday evening. Rainfall: * Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches Monday through Wednesday likely won't be high enough for widespread flooding, but smaller tributaries draining the Talkeetnas including Willow Creek and the Little Susitna will likely reach bankfull. Hydrologic Concerns:

ESFAFG ...Locations Impacted... Fairbanks Metro Area-Two Rivers Please refer to the Flood Watch for more information.

ESFAFG ...Locations Impacted... Lower Koyukuk Valley-Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-Lower Yukon River-Middle Yukon Valley Heavy rain is forecast to begin Monday afternoon. Rain should continue through Wednesday morning with storm total rainfall of up to 2 inches expected. With already saturated ground conditions across the region, the heavy rain may cause minor pooling/ponding of water beginning on Tuesday. Mainstem river flooding is not expected, but high water levels and

FRWOUN The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a Fire Warning at the request of Texas A&M Forest Service for Wichita County until at least 700 PM CDT. * AT 459 PM CDT, a dangerous wildfire was located a half mile northeast of Iowa Park near Bell Road, moving rapidly north- northwest at 1 to 3 mph. * Areas impacted... The north side of Iowa Park, generally north of U.S. Highway 287...and rural areas north of town. * Additional Information...Smoke and fire will present a threat to