Moderate Special Weather Statement | Effective 08/21/2026 00:11

Corrected more typos. ...ENHANCED MONSOON SURGE TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PALAU AND YAP THE NEXT FEW DAYS... An intensifying monsoon surge along the southern peripheries of a developing trough axis stretching from TS Saudel southwestward, is expected to continue to enhance a disturbance just over Yap. Intense showers and thunderstorms are expected to peak at Yap tonight and Saturday, to then taper down slowly thereafter. Meanwhile at Palau, the aforementioned disturbance will continue to induce a strong convergence zone overhead, bringing more intense showers and thunderstorms tonight and Saturday as well, followed by a slight diffusion that may bring periods of dry spells thereafter. Current rainfall estimates indicate 5 to 8 inches of rainfall in the general vicinity of Palau over the next 36 hours, with slightly lower amounts expected near Yap. Even so, these rainfall totals remain highly uncertain due to the generally unsettled weather pattern in the area, heavily reliant on how the disturbance over Yap may move. This pattern is not likely to taper down significantly until early next week as a distant TS Saudel continues to pivot toward the far northern Marianas. As such, the general public must continue to monitor the forecast for any potential changes and/or developments over the next several days.